Svetyt prez 2020 e tretiat razsekreten doklad na Nacionalnia razuznavatelen syvet kym CRU, podgotven prez poslednite godini. Tova e teoretichen dokument, kojto ima za cel da izraboti dylgosrochna vizia za bydeshteto. V doklada se razglezhdat chetiri glavni scenaria, po koito bi mogyl da se razviva svetyt prez sledvashtite petnajset godini: Pax americana, Svetyt spored Davos, Edin nov halifat, Cikylyt na straha. Dovezhdajki do krajnost tezi scenarii, avtorite ni razkrivat tehnite specifichni elementi, koito sled tova otkysvat ot pyrvonachalnata struktura, za da formirat osnovata na okonchatelnia variant, predstaviasht mnenieto im. Prividniat ekstremizym na scenariite gi prevryshta v svoeobrazni parnici, kydeto se otglezhdat niakoi osnovni poniatia, za da bydat prisadeni na finalnia etap kym edin vse po-blizyk do dejstvitelnostta model.
Aleksandyr Adler
Sydyrzhatelniat, dobre postroen i inteligenten tekst, kojto shte prochetete, idva neposredstveno ot Nacionalnia razuznavatelen syvet (NRS). Toest ot konsultativen organ, systaven izkliuchitelno ot diplomati, oficeri ot razuznavaneto, v po-goliamata si chast formirani v CRU, kakto i ot voenni. Celta mu e da ulesni obobshteniata i da dade tlasyk na fundamentalnite izsledvania v oblastta na razuznavaneto. Podobno na izdatelskia syvet na vestnik ili spisanie, NRS ne se zanimava s operativnata rabota i s kratkosrochnite problemi, a po-skoro s dylgosrochnite perspektivi, kakto i s razprostranenieto na svoite analizi naj-veche vytre v CRU, no i po vyrhovete na izpylnitelnata vlast (prezidentstvoto), v osnovnite ministerstva i v Dyrzhavnia departament, razpolagasht sys sobstveni izsledovatelski zvena. Pri vse tova, mnogo riadko edno uchrezhdenie, uchastvashto v prakticheskata dejnost na federalnata dyrzhava, pristypva kym zadylbocheno prouchvane na golemite tendencii na bydeshtia sviat. Vidian v tazi svetlina, dokladyt pridobiva izkliuchitelno znachenie.
Robyrt L. Hychings
Prezident na Nacionalnia razuznavatelen syvet
Frequently Asked Questions:
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